Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.044741 0.048787 0.052899 0.057381 0.062124 0.066985 0.072337
2024-12-22 0.039414 0.045431 0.051773 0.058929 0.066751 0.075017 0.084383
2024-12-29 0.034788 0.042193 0.050263 0.059647 0.070196 0.081627 0.094889
2025-01-05 0.031055 0.039490 0.048966 0.060285 0.073325 0.087763 0.104847
2025-01-12 0.027339 0.036410 0.046905 0.059764 0.074912 0.092018 0.112615
2025-01-19 0.024980 0.034683 0.046207 0.060639 0.077972 0.097866 0.122172
2025-01-26 0.022299 0.032310 0.044516 0.060141 0.079259 0.101552 0.129163
2025-02-02 0.020355 0.030684 0.043585 0.060428 0.081380 0.106148 0.137190
2025-02-09 0.019034 0.029739 0.043405 0.061557 0.084463 0.111862 0.146550
2025-02-16 0.018436 0.029694 0.044327 0.064044 0.089217 0.119617 0.158413
2025-02-23 0.016082 0.027068 0.041726 0.061878 0.088031 0.120029 0.161318
2025-03-02 0.014529 0.025443 0.040345 0.061195 0.088635 0.122584 0.166798
2025-03-09 0.013170 0.024027 0.039205 0.060818 0.089658 0.125732 0.173138
2025-03-16 0.012757 0.023984 0.039951 0.062977 0.094008 0.133118 0.184838
2025-03-23 0.012029 0.023405 0.039902 0.064030 0.096898 0.138676 0.194300
2025-03-30 0.011298 0.022763 0.039718 0.064864 0.099488 0.143857 0.203324
2025-04-06 0.010268 0.021561 0.038648 0.064402 0.100297 0.146722 0.209410
2025-04-13 0.009704 0.021079 0.038609 0.065373 0.103033 0.152095 0.218727
2025-04-20 0.008820 0.019982 0.037582 0.064873 0.103721 0.154769 0.224572
2025-04-27 0.008203 0.019297 0.037141 0.065190 0.105512 0.158887 0.232297
2025-05-04 0.007834 0.019019 0.037313 0.066388 0.108524 0.164631 0.242160
2025-05-11 0.007797 0.019340 0.038436 0.069014 0.113564 0.173121 0.255671
2025-05-18 0.006751 0.017699 0.036333 0.066734 0.111617 0.172204 0.256815